Why Is Europe Not Replacing Russian Pipeline Gas With Long-term LNG Contracts?

Why are European gas buyers reluctant to commit to long-term LNG contracts? European buyers’ general avoidance of long-term contracts signals that they will be willing to bid up prices when they need supplies. Paired with its continuing demand for LNG and refusal to meaningfully invest in new infrastructure, Europe’s “outbid everyone” LNG procurement strategy is a recipe for price volatility and higher prices – which the market already saw in 2021 and 2022.