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Europe and Russia energy trade and balance of power

Europe and Russia shift energy balance and economic power after gas decoupling

Europe’s post-2022 gas decoupling has reshaped the balance of power with Russia. Following the sharp decline in pipeline gas flows, Gazprom’s export revenues are expected to shrink by more than €160 billion by 2030, while Europe’s fossil-fuel import bill could fall by roughly half compared with pre-crisis levels. Rapid diversification toward LNG, lower demand, and faster renewables deployment have strengthened […]

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European gas market Q3 2025 – LNG and Norwegian imports rise

European gas market steadies as prices and volatility fall in Q3 2025

The European gas market showed renewed stability over the third quarter of 2025. Prices eased across all major hubs while volatility dropped to its lowest level in five years, helped by steady supply and calmer trading conditions. However, with storage only 82% full by the end of September, Europe enters the winter season more reliant on imports than in previous […]

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Primary energy consumption to 2050 by scenario and Europe’s critical minerals exposure

Europe’s low-carbon power mix raises exposure to critical minerals risks

Europe’s low-carbon power mix is a strength for decarbonisation, but it raises exposure to critical minerals markets dominated by Asia/Pacific and parts of Africa. While Europe has achieved a sustained decline in energy-related CO2 emissions and now relies on a diversified blend of wind, hydro, solar and nuclear, global scenario sets to 2050 show primary energy demand only falling in […]

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European power prices and gas demand – October 2025

Lower renewable output lifts gas demand and European power prices

European power prices rose across most markets in October 2025 as renewable generation weakened and gas-fired output increased. Wind and solar generation dropped compared with September, prompting higher gas burn to balance the system. Despite broadly stable fuel and CO₂ prices, the shift toward thermal generation pushed day-ahead power prices upward in key markets including Germany, France and Spain. Gas […]

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