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Europe’s approach to European energy security is shifting risks from fossil-fuel dependence to new vulnerabilities in clean-energy supply chains. The paper argues that European energy security is being redefined rather than solved. Europe’s traditional vulnerability — heavy reliance on imported oil and gas — is gradually being reduced through the expansion of renewables, electrification, storage, and stronger grids. This, in […]
EU gas supplies after Russia have pushed attention to Algeria and Libya, but only Algeria looks capable of remaining a stable supplier while Libya’s upside is highly uncertain. Europe’s search for new EU gas supplies after the Ukraine war has refocused policy and commercial attention on two North African neighbours: Algeria and Libya. This note argues that while both have […]
This note summarises key presentations and the open-floor discussion from the UNECE Group of Experts on Gas workshop on the EU Methane Regulation (20 January 2026). It captures views on implementation timelines, MRV and traceability, importer obligations, penalty risks, geopolitical tensions (notably around US LNG), and the potential implications for European gas security, LNG trade, and market functioning. The workshop […]
This presentation pack brings together insights from a group of leading experts on the EU Methane Regulation (Regulation 2024/1787), examining its evolving implementation, the technical and legal challenges facing producers and importers, and its potential consequences for European gas security, LNG trade, and global markets. The decks unpack timelines, MRV equivalence, traceability, penalties, and the risk that the rules could […]
The UK gas market is entering a more exposed phase of the energy transition, with declining domestic supply, rising dependence on LNG imports, and growing sensitivity to European and global market dynamics. This presentation pack brings together a series of expert briefings examining what this shift means for energy security, system resilience, and infrastructure planning in the years ahead. This […]
Europe’s European gas diversification strategy is coming under renewed scrutiny as the shift away from Russian pipeline gas reveals new structural dependencies and market vulnerabilities. Since 2022, Europe has dramatically reshaped its gas supply mix, sharply reducing Russian imports and expanding alternative sources. While this transition is widely regarded as a geopolitical success, the report argues that prevailing diversification metrics […]
Gas-fired generation in the EU increased in 2025 as wind and solar overtook fossil fuels for the first time, reinforcing gas’s evolving role as the system’s marginal and price-setting fuel rather than a baseload source. Gas-fired power generation rose in parts of the EU during 2025, largely in response to weaker hydro output and weather-driven variability in renewable generation. While […]
European gas prices strengthened sharply in early 2026, reflecting a renewed tightening of short-term market fundamentals despite improving global supply conditions. After a relatively stable end to 2025, TTF month-ahead prices rose by more than 45% during January as colder weather increased residential and commercial demand while storage levels entered the year below historical averages. The price rally was reinforced […]
The global gas market entered a new phase of rebalancing in the most recent quarter as accelerating LNG supply growth began to outpace uneven demand trends, with Europe increasingly acting as the system’s balancing market between Asia, storage requirements and price signals. The latest quarterly global gas market assessment shows that conditions shifted materially in late 2025, as new LNG […]