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LNG-in-Italy

LNG in Italy: infrastructures, market design and challenges

LNG has been crucial to replace Russian pipeline gas supplies. However, further development of LNG infrastructure in a context of decreasing gas demand could result in significant overcapacity and could cause utilisation rates to fall again. Increasing system flexibility and diversification of services offered at terminals (e.g. SSLNG) could help to lessen these shortcomings.

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European-gas-market

Seasonality and price spikes in the European gas market

In this paper the author proposes and examines a model for the natural gas spot price and its convenience yield. Performing an empirical analysis of the European natural gas spot and futures markets, they observe that log spot prices are non-stationary, exhibit mild seasonality, and display almost continuous behaviour. In contrast, the implied convenience yield is stationary, shows strong seasonality, and experiences frequent spikes. Source: Francesco Rotondi

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Europe-gas-crisis-May-2024

How the European gas market is dealing with lower Russian supplies

The European gas market will remain fundamentally tight in the coming years. How the European gas price develops will therefore depend crucially on the global supply of LNG and the demand for LNG in the rest of the world, especially in Asia. Even minor shifts in the supply- demand balance could create volatile price movements. In the medium term, after 2025, gas balances are expected to ease as the next big wave of LNG supply becomes available to the global market.

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